Sunday, November 4, 2012

My Prediction For the Winner of the U.S. Presidential Election on Tuesday

I predict President Obama will win reelection.

The popular vote national (which does not mean anything for presidential elections in the United States) will break out as follows (rounded to the nearest percentage):

President Obama: 51%
George Romney: 48%
Other: 1%

The vote that means everything, the electoral college vote, I project as follows.  Each state in the United States is winner-takes-all.

President Obama:   303 electoral votes
Mitt Romney:  235 electoral votes

270 are needed to win, and President Obama wins reelection.

Let's see how I do on Wednesday morning. 


  1. I hope your predictions are correct, my friend!

  2. I have to agree with Bock I hope they are right as well.
    Fingers crossed*


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