Wednesday, November 7, 2012

How Good Were My Election Predictions on Issued on Sunday November 4?

Note from Eddi:  This is what I published on Sunday, November 4:

I predict President Obama will win reelection.

The popular vote national (which does not mean anything for presidential elections in the United States) will break out as follows (rounded to the nearest percentage):

President Obama: 51%      As of this morning:  50%
George Romney: 48%                                      48%
Other: 1%                                                          2%

The vote that means everything, the electoral college vote, I project as follows.  Each state in the United States is winner-takes-all.

President Obama:   303 electoral votes    
Mitt Romney:  235 electoral votes

(Note from Eddi:  The situation of this morning is 303 votes for Obama, 206 for Mitt Romney, and 29 undecided. Florida my home state is still too close to call. I have guessed how 49 of the 50 states would vote)

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